Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.104654 0.123143 0.143819 0.168640 0.197612 0.230351 0.270143
2025-11-16 0.076459 0.100037 0.129190 0.167822 0.217617 0.279588 0.362533
2025-11-23 0.058944 0.083524 0.116291 0.163039 0.227900 0.314591 0.439159
2025-11-30 0.049724 0.075224 0.111374 0.166150 0.246835 0.361087 0.534938
2025-12-07 0.042178 0.067564 0.105536 0.166169 0.260237 0.400260 0.624117
2025-12-14 0.035479 0.059854 0.098129 0.162201 0.266356 0.428492 0.699425
2025-12-21 0.030858 0.054583 0.093521 0.161571 0.276979 0.464067 0.789448
2025-12-28 0.028231 0.052152 0.093036 0.167352 0.298351 0.518696 0.916090
2026-01-04 0.026268 0.050533 0.093604 0.174812 0.323193 0.581456 1.063157
2026-01-11 0.024100 0.048191 0.092517 0.179051 0.342637 0.636730 1.202964
2026-01-18 0.021688 0.045012 0.089440 0.179121 0.354277 0.679073 1.323697
2026-01-25 0.018823 0.040518 0.083264 0.172413 0.352159 0.695662 1.397826
2026-02-01 0.015978 0.035782 0.076260 0.163708 0.346181 0.706399 1.466465
2026-02-08 0.014315 0.033307 0.073521 0.163404 0.357247 0.752012 1.610686
2026-02-15 0.012512 0.030226 0.069059 0.158798 0.358682 0.778325 1.718595
2026-02-22 0.011549 0.028899 0.068185 0.161836 0.376798 0.841028 1.910226
2026-03-01 0.010482 0.027151 0.066112 0.161855 0.388167 0.890566 2.079114
2026-03-08 0.009296 0.024915 0.062588 0.157988 0.390111 0.919579 2.205620
2026-03-15 0.008449 0.023396 0.060550 0.157374 0.399552 0.966411 2.378222
2026-03-22 0.008030 0.022930 0.061026 0.163009 0.424765 1.052415 2.652640
2026-03-29 0.007720 0.022711 0.062093 0.170280 0.454942 1.153506 2.974932
2026-04-05 0.007283 0.022065 0.061961 0.174412 0.477658 1.239074 3.268887
2026-04-12 0.006709 0.020938 0.060389 0.174480 0.489794 1.299809 3.507402